After several days of stable, almost early-summer weather, Spain is set for a marked change in conditions. An Atlantic low-pressure system is approaching the Iberian Peninsula and is expected to bring widespread, at times heavy and persistent rainfall from Tuesday onwards. However, meteorological models still show uncertainty regarding both the intensity and the exact track of the system.
Spain Expat Press Editorial Team
West and south particularly affected
According to the latest forecasts, the following regions are expected to be most affected:
- Galicia
- Western Asturias and Castile and León
- Extremadura
- Andalusia (particularly the west)
- Northern Canary Islands
In these areas, prolonged and locally intense rainfall is possible, especially in mountainous regions and around the Strait of Gibraltar.
Tuesday and Wednesday key to developments
Monday: Largely stable conditions with pleasant weather across most of Spain.
Tuesday: The low-pressure system reaches the peninsula from the west. Initial rainfall is expected in Galicia, Extremadura and western Andalusia.
Wednesday: This is likely to be the most active phase. Particularly in the south-west, heavy and persistent rainfall is possible. At the same time, Saharan dust is expected, potentially leading to increased dust concentrations (calima). Combined with rainfall, this may result in so-called “mud rain” events..
Temperatures: initial drop, followed by unusual rise
As the system moves through, temperatures—especially in the west and south-west—are expected to fall significantly, locally by more than 8°C.
From Thursday onwards, however, a renewed rise in temperatures is forecast. In many parts of Spain, values above 25°C are expected once again. In some inland areas and in the south, temperatures could even reach between 28 and 32°C—unusually high for early April.
Uncertainty remains
Despite broad agreement among forecasting models, meteorologists emphasise that both the intensity and the regional distribution of rainfall are not yet fully certain.
What is clear, however, is that Spain is facing a short but notable weather shift—bringing rain, possible calima, and a swift return to near-summer temperatures.
